Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.816969 2.066714 2.340895 2.664661 3.037086 3.452705 3.952582
2025-11-23 1.446306 1.774152 2.164221 2.664242 3.290661 4.052676 5.054765
2025-11-30 1.261535 1.647144 2.137638 2.811284 3.718644 4.907169 6.596234
2025-12-07 1.099657 1.512807 2.068711 2.878244 4.038483 5.658653 8.122735
2025-12-14 0.949862 1.366079 1.953616 2.853425 4.214365 6.224056 9.469016
2025-12-21 0.815271 1.218371 1.811537 2.760813 4.266105 6.601686 10.579676
2025-12-28 0.758117 1.174993 1.813202 2.878546 4.646744 7.525212 12.690794
2026-01-04 0.706183 1.131421 1.806402 2.977639 5.005305 8.456916 14.961756
2026-01-11 0.654694 1.081184 1.780936 3.039241 5.304326 9.323731 17.254236
2026-01-18 0.606858 1.030641 1.747615 3.080443 5.568943 10.160977 19.623788
2026-01-25 0.549074 0.956126 1.663977 3.019775 5.636145 10.638789 21.365482
2026-02-01 0.488204 0.869420 1.548917 2.886002 5.544646 10.795270 22.470642
2026-02-08 0.446695 0.814934 1.489014 2.854763 5.660214 11.400018 24.683160
2026-02-15 0.407383 0.760477 1.423452 2.804799 5.732446 11.930157 26.840292
2026-02-22 0.393709 0.753302 1.447183 2.937303 6.204578 13.383540 31.405315
2026-03-01 0.373069 0.730156 1.436747 2.997157 6.528104 14.560398 35.545801
2026-03-08 0.345392 0.689904 1.387251 2.966710 6.644652 15.280716 38.686156
2026-03-15 0.314286 0.639436 1.311239 2.868212 6.589732 15.585247 40.801099
2026-03-22 0.305515 0.634880 1.331665 2.989993 7.075671 17.290644 47.078060
2026-03-29 0.295594 0.626768 1.343368 3.092812 7.530436 18.993399 53.727542
2026-04-05 0.283317 0.612201 1.339099 3.156797 7.896548 20.525800 60.223696
2026-04-12 0.270430 0.594960 1.326878 3.199633 8.214001 21.980511 66.818356
2026-04-19 0.251499 0.562076 1.275028 3.136403 8.237948 22.619032 70.960924